โ† the wire

Forecast Desk

What readers expect

Structured questions about stories we're covering. Answer one, then see where the room stands. Every question says up front how it will be settled and who settles it.

Leaderboard โ†’

AllOpen ClosedResolved politicswest-philippine-sea NewestClosing soon Recently resolved
Openwest-philippine-sea Closes 25 Sept, 22:00 0 forecasts

Will the Philippine Coast Guard report a new blocking incident at Ayungin Shoal before the end of September?

A China Coast Guard vessel recently departed Ayungin after nearly a week on station. Resupply missions to the BRP Sierra Madre continue on an irregular schedule.

Openpolitics Closes 10 Sept, 22:00 0 forecasts

Will the impeachment court formally adopt a change to its trial format?

The presiding officer has floated changing the format to speed proceedings up. Any change would need the court to adopt it, not merely discuss it.

Openpolitics Closes 20 Sept, 22:00 0 forecasts

Will Vice President Sara Duterte testify in person at her own impeachment trial?

The defence opens its case next. Whether the Vice President takes the stand herself โ€” rather than resting on counsel and affidavits โ€” is the biggest open question of the defence phase.

Openpolitics Closes 30 Aug, 22:00 0 forecasts

Will the impeachment court reach a verdict on Vice President Sara Duterte before the end of September?

The House prosecution has rested its case on the grave-threats article. The defence opens next, and the presiding officer has floated a change of format to speed the trial up. A verdict needs 16 of 24 senator-judges.

What this is. These are audience predictions โ€” what our readers think will happen โ€” not reporting, and not a forecast by our newsroom. There is no money, no betting and no prize: you play for points, streaks and the record. Newsroom staff cannot take part.